Samarina G.P., Doroshko S.E., Chadayev O.D.

St. Petersburg, 2008

The Summary

Now authors are intended to publish the series of books in which the using of their Dynamic Noosphera-Sinergy-Production-Motivation Conception (DNSPMC), its methodology and neural models  is shown on practical examples. In this book on the basis of DNSPMC authors answer why crises in the USA and the developed countries occurred, occur and will regularly occur, and also why the American economists cannot predict them, and miss them regularly. Authors show also that a default of 1998 in the Russian Federation and crises in the USA of 2001-2002, 2008-2009, inevitable crisis 2013-2014 had been predicted by special computations. The latent reasons generating regular crises are revealed and described. It is proved that while the financial-banking system and firms not learn to operate with the direct and indirect latent relations, the society will live in the financial and economic crises forever. It is also shown, that technological development of a society generates the enormous variety of crisis effects due to prevailing development of the indirect latent relations and synergetic bifurcations. The role of money and the capital is proved to be insignificant and secondary in comparison with the labour. The business community of the developed countries does not understand, why the underpaying to the personnel leads to loses in sales and profits and inevitably generates the crisis and why the personnel defines the demand: the more the payment the more demand, and sales and profits are much more, and - on the contrary. Synergetic latent-phasic bifurcations and interrelations of financial-banking system and its subsystems during the crises and stabilisation are calculated. The importance of indirect-latent relations is revealed and calculated for banking system and managing models of direct and indirect-latent relations  between the banks and other economy are defined. The financial-banking and economic crises are specified and losses from them are calculated. Recommendations to the Central Banks and financial community of the developed countries are given.

The book is intended for students and post-graduate students of economic High Schools, teachers, experts, economists of banks, stock, insurance and trust companies, legislators and the public.


Chapter 1. Dynamic Noosphera-Sinergy-Production-Motivation Conception as a motivational tool for economic analysis, planning and control organizations, industries, regions, the national economy
1.1. Origin of the concept
1.2. Production and motivational concept model Samarinoy
1.3. The practical result of building productive and motivational models. Cross motivational Samarinoy
1.4. Solar cycles, the law Oukena-Chekirdy, curves Samarinoy Education
1.5. The theory and the problem of large numbers of universal medium in the economy
1.6. The evolution of the concept of supply-motivation towards a dynamic economy, multiforme, synergetics
1.6.1. Theory Vol VI Vernadsky and the modern concept of sustainable development
1.6.2. The theory of risk and disaster. Synergetic
1.7. Dynamic noosferno-productive and synergistic motivational model
1.7.1. Ease of neural models
Chapter 2. The dynamics of the financial and banking system in a regular crises
2.1. The main factors of sustainable development, financial and banking systems
2.1.1. Analysis of changes in money supply RF
2.1.2. Analysis of changes in monetary USA
2.1.3. Comparative analysis of the dynamic United States and Russia
2.2. The dynamics of the impact of the financial system on the country's economy on the basis of benchmarking
2.2.1. Assessing the significance of the financial system and its elements in the economy of the United States under the programmer NAICS
2.2.2. U.S. financial system against the backdrop of crisis
2.2.3. Analysis of the financial system cut integral USA, its dynamics in different time periods
2.2.4. Dynamic comparative analysis of the financial systems of Russia and the United States
2.3. Banks in the financial and economic system. Synergic latent bifurcation in times of crisis
2.3.1. Dynamics of the United States banking system
2.3.2. Stock System Dynamics USA
2.3.3. The dynamics of the insurance system, USA
2.3.4. Dynamics of the United States trust the system
2.3.5. Dynamic clustering subsystems financial system
Chapter 3. Simulation Management banking system in the context of sustainable development
3.1. Dynamic cluster analysis system, the direct and indirect linkages latent banks
3.1.1. An integrated analysis of the main factors cost the United States banking system
3.1.2. Cluster analysis and latent bifurcations direct-indirect links banks
3.2. Model management system of direct and indirect linkages-dormant bank
3.2.1. Load capacity in the economy of the United States as one of the latent factors signal crisis for banks
3.2.2. Synergic bifurcation latent-indirect linkages in relation to the direct cost of U.S. banks
3.2.3. Study integral element of the cluster analysis of direct and indirect linkages latent-USA banks, their bifurcation phase. Building models
3.3. Model management banks in the context of sustainable development
3.3.1. Model of banks and the banking community with other sectors of the economy
3.3.2. Building Reference Model banking community USA
3.3.3. Development of the reference models USA supplier of intermediate goods for banks
3.3.4. Immersion reference models of U.S. banks in the Russian economic environment
3.3.5. Immersion reference models supplier dollars in the Russian economic environment
Table of Contents

PSamarina G.P., Doroshko S.E., Chadayev O.D.
Динамика развития финансово-банковской системы в условиях регулярных кризисов
Самарина Г.П., Дорошко С.Е., Чадаев О.Д. Ноосферная экономика: банки и кризисы финансовой системы. - СПб.: Изд-во СПбГЭТУ "ЛЭТИ", 2008 - 259 c.